Weekly Market Update - 8 May 2017

Dated 08-05-2017


Market Outlook


Equity Market Outlook
 
  • First on French Presidential election, landslide victory by Emmanuel Macron who secured 65% of total votes removed the concerns of further breakup of Eurozone.
 
  • US’s April non-farm payroll increase by 211,000 versus consensus estimate of 185,000. This lifted the expectation of Federal Reserve to do another 25bps rate hike in June’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
 
  • Hong Kong’s March Retail Sales grew by 3.1%, which was the first positive growth after 24 consecutive months of declining. Luxury items like jewelry and luxury watches are the main drivers for the growth.
 
  • Back to Malaysia, March Export grew by 24% yoy driven by Electrical & Electronics and Petrochemical sectors. March Imports grew at faster pace of 39.4% yoy. This showed the sign of robustness in Malaysia economy.
 
  • Malaysia Ringgit +2% during the month of April mainly driven by higher foreign inflows to Malaysia markets. There will be a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on 12 May but we expect no hike by Bank Negara Malaysia on this meeting.
 
  • We continue to be positive on regional markets performance in coming months given the better clarity post 1Q17 earnings release in May which is expected to be positive. Sectors which we are favouring are infrastructure, building materials, financial and selective manufacturing sectors.
 
 
Fixed Income Outlook
 
  • As expected, Fed held rates unchanged and this was positive for the Emerging markets as we saw foreigners nibbling at the shorter end of the curve in the government papers.
 
  • ​Malaysia sovereign bond market consolidated narrower especially on the shorter end of the curve (5years and below).
 
  • ​Inaugural 30 yr Government Investment Issue (GII) launched attracted 2.3x book to cover ratio.
 
  • Strategy continues to take profit and to add on to buy government papers on dips.
 
 
Fund

 
% Growth MYR
31/12/14 to
 5/5/17
31/12/15 to
 5/5/17
31/12/16 to
 5/5/17
 5/5/16 to 5/5/17
 5/5/14 to
5/5/17
5/5/12 to
5/5/17
5/5/07 to
5/5/17
Since
1/1/2015
Since 1/1/2016 YTD 1 Yr 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs
Hong Leong Growth Fund 20.82 12.12 13.33 17.75 19.96 44.65 49.92
Hong Leong Penny Stock Fund 40.86 18.55 14.94 19.98 39.14 77.40 108.92
Hong Leong Consumer Products Sector Fund 31.80 17.57 5.79 11.56 19.64 48.59 186.07
Hong Leong Dana Makmur 27.36 12.62 15.07 16.94 22.13 42.56 72.57
Hong Leong Dividend Fund 38.23 26.19 17.64 23.21 34.98 64.42 92.77
Hong Leong Asia-Pacific Infrastructure Fund 13.24 7.47 8.07 11.73 8.92 8.31 -
Hong Leong Asia-Pacific Dividend Fund 20.06 12.77 10.80 18.22 16.49 20.93 10.82
Hong Leong Hong Kong Equity Optimizer Fund 15.60 7.81 5.98 24.30 5.75 22.07 -
Hong Leong Balanced Fund 27.11 11.92 10.74 12.34 26.93 44.22 81.33
Hong Leong Dana Maa'rof 18.00 8.16 9.47 10.33 15.38 29.00 69.19
Hong Leong Strategic Fund 20.09 15.16 9.85 13.53 17.09 39.94 52.50
Hong Leong Strategic Opportunity Fund - - 11.19 14.23 - - -
Hong Leong Bond Fund 7.37 3.99 1.63 2.05 10.62 16.31 41.15
Hong Leong Wholesale Bond Fund 10.46 6.36 2.11 3.84 14.06 - -
Hong Leong Institutional Bond Fund 9.26 5.73 1.83 3.75 11.98 18.55 38.87
Hong Leong Islamic Income Management Fund 7.61 4.20 1.37 2.96 9.85 15.60 32.95
Hong Leong Income Management Fund 8.89 4.97 1.21 3.59 11.27 18.06 -
Hong Leong Islamic Institutional Income Management Fund II  8.11 4.56 1.11 3.24 10.26 - -
Hong Leong Money Market Fund 8.55 4.90 1.26 3.54 - - -
Source: Lipper for Investment Management, as at 5 May 2017. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. 


 
 
 
DISCLAIMER: This publication shall not be copied, or relied upon by any person for whatever purpose. The information herein is given on a general basis without obligation and is strictly for information only. This publication is not an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice to buy or sell any investment product, including any collective investment schemes or shares of companies mentioned within. Although every reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy and objectivity of the information contained in this publication, Hong Leong Asset Management Bhd and its employees cannot be held liable for any errors, inaccuracies and/or omissions, howsoever caused, or for any decision or action taken based on views expressed or information in this publication. The information contained in this publication, including any data, projections and underlying assumptions are based upon certain assumptions, management forecasts and analysis of information available as at the date of this document and reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of the date of the document, all of which are accordingly subject to change at any time without notice. Hong Leong Asset Management Bhd does not warrant the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness or completeness of the information herein for any particular purpose, and expressly disclaims liability for any errors, inaccuracies or omissions. Any opinions, projections and other forward-looking statements regarding future events or performance of, including but not limited to, countries, markets or companies are not necessarily indicative of, and may differ from actual events or results. Nothing in this publication constitutes accounting, legal, regulatory, tax or other advice. The information herein has no regard to the specific objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific person. You may wish to seek advice from a professional or an independent financial adviser about the issues discussed herein or before investing in any investment products.